2014 Oscar Nominations-Predictions

In about 36 hours the nominations for the 87th annual Academy Awards will be announced.

The 85th Academy Awards® will air live on Oscar® Sunday, February 24, 2013.

Here are my predictions for who will be nominated in the four acting categories, as well as for Best Director and Best Picture

Best Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette in Boyhood…This is a lock and his a 95% lock to win at the end of February

Meryl Streep in Into the Woods…She long ago left Katherine Hepburn and Jack Nicholson and their 12 nominations in the dust. This will be nomination #19.

Keira Knightley in The Imitation Game

Emma Stone in Birdman

Spot #5 is the Wildcard…

There are about five actresses that could nab this spot. Don’t count out Jessica Chastain in A Most Violent Year or Naomi Watts in St. Vincent but I’m going out on limb here and saying…Rene Russo in Nightcrawler.

Nightcrawler-ReneRusso-dinnerscene

Her BAFTA nomination last week is a good omen and this is the acting category that has traditionally produced the most surprises.

Best Supporting Actor

Ethan Hawke in Boyhood…Believe it or not this would be his fourth nomination.

Boyhood-Ethan-Hawke-Ellar-Coltrane

Edward Norton in Birdman

Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher

J.K. Simmons in Whiplash…Like Patricia Arquette he seems like the big favorite to win next month.

Robert Duvall in The Judge…but he’s vulnerable.

Best Actress

Julianne Moore in Still Alice…See Simmons and Arquette for her chances of winning

Felicity Jones in The Theory of Everything

Rosamund Pike in Gone Girl

Gone_Girl_Rosamund_Pike_Amy_Dunne

Reese Witherspoon in Wild

It is a tight two way race for the 5th spot. Has anybody actually seen “Cake”? Does anybody actually like “Big Eyes” that much? Flip a coin on this one but I’m changing my tune from a couple of weeks ago on this one and predicting Amy Adams…We’ll know right away since Adams or Aniston will be the first name announced in this category.

 

Best Actor

Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game

Michael Keaton in Birdman

Eddie Redmayne in The Theory of Everything…Likely winner but slightly less likely than the other three frontrunners

Spots #4 and #5 are tough to call. “Selma” isn’t all that good but David Oyelowo is great. If Rene Russo gets that fifth spot for Best Supporting Actress then Jake Gyllenhaal is in but if she doesn’t you could look for a late surge by Bradley Cooper in “American Sniper”. Steve Carell in “Foxtcatcher” seems likely but not absolute because there are a lot of people that loved “The Grand Budapest Hotel” and that could help Ralph Fiennes…I’m going with the last two spots going to Gyllenhaal and Cooper.

AMERICAN-SNIPER

Best Director

Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel

Richard Linklater for Boyhood…The likely winner

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Birdman

Clink Eastwood for American Sniper…Hollywood loves him and at 84 he can’t keep it up forever.

Jake_McDorman_42189

Spot #5 is tough…First African American woman Ava Duvernay? Nope, “Selma” is a dud. Angelina Jolie? Nope, “Unbroken” is going to go unnominated. This seems like a three way race between David Fincher for “Gone Girl”, Morten Tyldum for “The Imitation Game” and Bennett Miller for “Foxcatcher”…I think the early momentum for “Gone Girl” will be just enough for David Fincher to sneak in there.

Best Picture

Birdman

Boyhood…Likely winner

The Grand Budapest Hotel

The Imitation Game

The Theory of Everything

Theory_of_Everything

Foxcatcher

Gone Girl

American Sniper…I’m sensing a lot of late support for this one

Selma…Barely…This is the least likely since I’m not sensing a lot of true support.

There could be a 10th movie nominated but I don’t see it happening.

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